Re: Value Bet River?
YES YES YES
Being in position with the line played im betting the river there.
Situation reasoning:
By betting 2/3 pot or more on wet boards in position often opens up the opponents perception of you bluffing and calling you down with Tx and Qx hands rather than taking the check raise line (as they have showdown value)
Nearly all other 2pair combos check call you after checking the river including I think most of the time straights are betting the river as they are losing a lot of value given the turn action.
Im betting $17-$18 on that river. If u experience resistance via a check raise reassess but all things considered u r getting check raised by the absolute top of their range or a stone cold bluff.
Hand history & table image reasoning:
Assuming u get called by 2pair or lighter - Opponents will probably adjust so id make notes that i value towned or over bet a wet board with top 2 etc and got paid off.
Assuming they fold - 1 less hand opponents have information about you.
Line you played - Opponents see you are too tight to value bet top 2 on scary boards and may bust future bluffs rather than thinking twice before going into check call mode when faced with tough decisions OOP
|