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Can anyone help calculate the odds of this happening.
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Thread: Can anyone help calculate the odds of this happening.

  1. #1
    aus-redda's Avatar
    aus-redda is offline PNW Novice
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    Default Can anyone help calculate the odds of this happening.



    Hi all,
    could someone please help me to calculate the odds of this hand occuring.

    I actually folded my 10's after being re-raised all in.

  2. #2
    boreemax is offline PNW Amateur
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    Default Re: Can anyone help calculate the odds of this happening.

    I'm no barcelet winner but that looks like quad 10's to me.
    Last edited by boreemax; 27-05-2012 at 08:05 PM.

  3. #3
    aus-redda's Avatar
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    Default Re: Can anyone help calculate the odds of this happening.

    Quote Originally Posted by boreemax View Post
    I'm no barcelet winner but that looks like quad 10's to me.
    Hello Boreemax,

    Thanks for your reply, but I think you are missing my point.

    What are the odds of 3 players being dealt a random pair, then each of these players flopping a set (3 of a kind),
    then what are the odds of one of those sets making quads.

  4. #4
    mhfc1987 is offline PNW Lurker
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    Default Re: Can anyone help calculate the odds of this happening.

    flopping a set is 7.5/1

    odds of 3 people flopping are set is huge, possibly 700,000+ /1
    i have never seen it.

  5. #5
    captainpants's Avatar
    captainpants is offline PNW Railbird
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    Default Re: Can anyone help calculate the odds of this happening.

    Its pokerstars mate - dumb shit like this happens every 3rd hand or more
    "Poker isn't played when blinds are 50-100 they are played in the middle to late stages of the tourney" - thkcduckworth.

  6. #6
    Yorkshire Pudding is offline Super Moderator
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    Default Re: Can anyone help calculate the odds of this happening.

    Odds are ridiculously huge. There was a hand reported at the $1.5k WSOP Re-entry that went:

    We caught wind of this hand because of Bart Hanson's tweet, and its needless to say that this is one of those mind-blowing hands that are found at the WSOP due to the sheer amount of hands being played per hour.

    It seems that four players managed to get it all in on a Qx 4x 3x flop.

    Player 1: AA
    Player 2: QQ
    Player 3: 44
    Player 4: 33

    Yes. You read that correctly. All three players flopped a set and the player with pocket aces was in last place. The turn brought the case Q, sealing the deal for the player with pocket queens. Just to pour salt in the wound, the case 4 peeled off on the river, giving a second player quads. We're unsure as to any more details from the hand, but you can see a first hand picture of it thanks to Bart Hanson's twitter:

  7. #7
    JayR is offline PNW Novice
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    Default Re: Can anyone help calculate the odds of this happening.

    so 6 cards are known meaning for one player to hit a set it's 2 cards out of 46 or 4.3%
    so for 3 player to hit a set in the same hand its
    0.043 to the power of 3 or (.043x.043x.043)
    =0.000079507
    that means rounding up to 0.008% chance

  8. #8
    Strong Play's Avatar
    Strong Play is offline Moderator
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    Default Re: Can anyone help calculate the odds of this happening.

    Quote Originally Posted by JayR View Post
    so 6 cards are known meaning for one player to hit a set it's 2 cards out of 46 or 4.3%
    so for 3 player to hit a set in the same hand its
    0.043 to the power of 3 or (.043x.043x.043)
    =0.000079507
    that means rounding up to 0.008% chance
    lol
    Seriously rickwaa be more of a loser.

  9. #9
    aus-redda's Avatar
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    Default Re: Can anyone help calculate the odds of this happening.

    Quote Originally Posted by Yorkshire Pudding View Post
    Odds are ridiculously huge. There was a hand reported at the $1.5k WSOP Re-entry that went:

    We caught wind of this hand because of Bart Hanson's tweet, and its needless to say that this is one of those mind-blowing hands that are found at the WSOP due to the sheer amount of hands being played per hour.

    It seems that four players managed to get it all in on a Qx 4x 3x flop.

    Player 1: AA
    Player 2: QQ
    Player 3: 44
    Player 4: 33

    Yes. You read that correctly. All three players flopped a set and the player with pocket aces was in last place. The turn brought the case Q, sealing the deal for the player with pocket queens. Just to pour salt in the wound, the case 4 peeled off on the river, giving a second player quads. We're unsure as to any more details from the hand, but you can see a first hand picture of it thanks to Bart Hanson's twitter:
    I'd like to see a replay of this hand. Is it possible you could provide a link to it?
    I have calculated the mathematics. Trust me....the odds are huge.
    But as another player once said.....that's poker.

  10. #10
    Yorkshire Pudding is offline Super Moderator
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    Default Re: Can anyone help calculate the odds of this happening.


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