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Thread: Thursday gogogo thread...

  1. #11
    OdZhold41nce's Avatar
    OdZhold41nce is offline PNW Lurker
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    Default Re: Thursday gogogo thread...

    I have no idea if its mathematically possible but in the PLO 5k this guy/girl

    Flopped quads not 2wice but 3 hands in a row back to back on a 9 seated table ???

    I would like to know by the geniuses on here what are those odds at?

  2. #12
    thret is offline PNW Elite
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    Default Re: Thursday gogogo thread...

    Quote Originally Posted by OdZhold41nce View Post
    I have no idea if its mathematically possible but in the PLO 5k this guy/girl

    Flopped quads not 2wice but 3 hands in a row back to back on a 9 seated table ???

    I would like to know by the geniuses on here what are those odds at?
    Obviously it is mathematically possible.

    48 unknown cards.
    C(48,3) = 48*47*46/(3*2*1) = 17,296 possible flops

    If we have no pair in our hand:
    4 flops give us quads or 17,296/4 = 4323 to 1

    If we have one pair in our hand:
    46 + 2 flops give us quads or 17,296/48 = 359.33 to 1

    If we have two pair in our hand:
    92 flops give us quads or 17,296/92 = 187 to 1

    FYI in holdem with PP:
    C(50,3) = 50*49*48/(3*2*1) = 19,600 ... 19600/48 = 408.33 = 407.33 to 1.

    It isn't as hard as you think. Your girl probably had a PP each time so you would expect that to occur once in 359.33^3 = 46,395,988.51 times. But that assumes you only play three hands and have a PP in each. Actually you play hundreds of hands, so if you assume nobody is paying attention until the first one, odds of quads on the next two is one in 129,118.05 which is not that incredible.
    Last edited by thret; 11-06-2010 at 12:38 PM.
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  3. #13
    Wazza's Avatar
    Wazza is offline PNW Lurker
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    Default Re: Thursday gogogo thread...

    This has gotta suck

    PokerStars Game #45324060118: Tournament #280116306, $2.00+$0.20 USD Hold'em No Limit - Level V (30/60) - 2010/06/11 2:12:44 AEST [2010/06/10 12:12:44 ET]
    Table '280116306 151' 9-max Seat #3 is the button
    Seat 1: ntamisdomino (7883 in chips)
    Seat 2: TCMirage (5852 in chips)
    Seat 3: Laurenzo974 (7735 in chips) is sitting out
    Seat 4: MsLuvs2Bong (2775 in chips)
    Seat 5: Joseearg2009 (2315 in chips)
    Seat 6: 123goran123 (2940 in chips)
    Seat 7: taniags (2940 in chips)
    Seat 8: ricleros (2565 in chips)
    Seat 9: binrobbed (1455 in chips)
    MsLuvs2Bong: posts small blind 30
    Joseearg2009: posts big blind 60
    *** HOLE CARDS ***
    Dealt to TCMirage [Ad Ah]
    123goran123: folds
    taniags: folds
    ricleros: raises 60 to 120
    binrobbed: calls 120
    ntamisdomino: folds
    TCMirage: raises 480 to 600
    Laurenzo974: folds
    MsLuvs2Bong: folds
    Joseearg2009: raises 1715 to 2315 and is all-in
    ricleros: folds
    binrobbed: folds
    TCMirage: calls 1715
    *** FLOP *** [3c 2d Jd]
    *** TURN *** [3c 2d Jd] [7d]
    *** RIVER *** [3c 2d Jd 7d] [4d]
    *** SHOW DOWN ***
    Joseearg2009: shows [As Ac] (a pair of Aces)
    TCMirage: shows [Ad Ah] (a flush, Ace high)
    TCMirage collected 4900 from pot
    Joseearg2009 finished the tournament in 2539th place
    *** SUMMARY ***
    Total pot 4900 | Rake 0
    Board [3c 2d Jd 7d 4d]
    Seat 1: ntamisdomino folded before Flop (didn't bet)
    Seat 2: TCMirage showed [Ad Ah] and won (4900) with a flush, Ace high
    Seat 3: Laurenzo974 (button) folded before Flop (didn't bet)
    Seat 4: MsLuvs2Bong (small blind) folded before Flop
    Seat 5: Joseearg2009 (big blind) showed [As Ac] and lost with a pair of Aces
    Seat 6: 123goran123 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
    Seat 7: taniags folded before Flop (didn't bet)
    Seat 8: ricleros folded before Flop
    Seat 9: binrobbed folded before Flop

  4. #14
    pokerpimp's Avatar
    pokerpimp is offline PNW Semi-Pro
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    Default Re: Thursday gogogo thread...

    [QUOTE=Wazza;248756]This has gotta suck

    PokerStars Game #45324060118: Tournament #280116306, $2.00+$0.20 USD Hold'em No Limit - Level V (30/60) - 2010/06/11 2:12:44 AEST [2010/06/10 12:12:44 ET]
    Table '280116306 151' 9-max Seat #3 is the button
    Seat 1: ntamisdomino (7883 in chips)
    Seat 2: TCMirage (5852 in chips)
    Seat 3: Laurenzo974 (7735 in chips) is sitting out
    Seat 4: MsLuvs2Bong (2775 in chips)
    Seat 5: Joseearg2009 (2315 in chips)
    Seat 6: 123goran123 (2940 in chips)
    Seat 7: taniags (2940 in chips)
    Seat 8: ricleros (2565 in chips)
    Seat 9: binrobbed (1455 in chips)
    MsLuvs2Bong: posts small blind 30
    Joseearg2009: posts big blind 60
    *** HOLE CARDS ***
    Dealt to TCMirage [Ad Ah]
    123goran123: folds
    taniags: folds
    ricleros: raises 60 to 120
    binrobbed: calls 120
    ntamisdomino: folds
    TCMirage: raises 480 to 600
    Laurenzo974: folds
    MsLuvs2Bong: folds
    Joseearg2009: raises 1715 to 2315 and is all-in
    ricleros: folds
    binrobbed: folds
    TCMirage: calls 1715
    *** FLOP *** [3c 2d Jd]
    *** TURN *** [3c 2d Jd] [7d]
    *** RIVER *** [3c 2d Jd 7d] [4d]
    *** SHOW DOWN ***
    Joseearg2009: shows [As Ac] (a pair of Aces)
    TCMirage: shows [Ad Ah] (a flush, Ace high)
    TCMirage collected 4900 from pot
    Joseearg2009 finished the tournament in 2539th place
    *** SUMMARY ***
    Total pot 4900 | Rake 0
    Board [3c 2d Jd 7d 4d]
    Seat 1: ntamisdomino folded before Flop (didn't bet)
    Seat 2: TCMirage showed [Ad Ah] and won (4900) with a flush, Ace high
    Seat 3: Laurenzo974 (button) folded before Flop (didn't bet)
    Seat 4: MsLuvs2Bong (small blind) folded before Flop
    Seat 5: Joseearg2009 (big blind) showed [As Ac] and lost with a pair of Aces
    Seat 6: 123goran123 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
    Seat 7: taniags folded before Flop (didn't bet)
    Seat 8: ricleros folded before Flop
    Seat 9: binrobbed folded before Flop[/QUOTE]

    Beat it wazza.

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