Saturday on the Punt

[Laires]

Randwick Races

Absolutely terrible races tomorrow at Randwick, I have completed my iniitial ratings and gone over the speed maps and have come to the conclusion that pace is going to make a massive difference to my betting strategy as will bias, the good part about tomorrow is G Waterhouse has quite a few average horses resuming which should provide some value to bet around.

Race 1: If you are the type that has to have a bet then you cant really go past "Needs Further" looks a decent horse in the trials but I dont think he is a slipper horse but lets face it unless some of them jump out of the ground none of these will be winning the slipper either. should win!!

Needs Further

Race 2: Dont really like the race all that much but if I have a bet based on odds it will be Altered Boy

Altered Boy

Race 3: Really like this race for a couple of reasons, Horizons is back 1st up and will be short, personally dont think she is ready, on top of that I think there are 2 very good horses resuming in The Mikado and also Sparkled, 1st up last campaign Sparkled ran 4th to Love Conquers, St Augustine and Sister Madly ran 3rd, in that race he was doing his best work late and should go very close in this, best of all i think we will get a semi decent price.

Sparkledfrom The Mikado and Winter King (place chance only)

Race 4: Bright Mind from Sandberg

Race 5: Pins on Parade from The Jackal

Race 6: Not too bad a race here, Gigas only just won last start and they could not have gone any slower in front, I dont think that will happen here and if it foesnt Chameleon should come from the back and be too strong, the other horse that could do the same is Magic Model, was in all the good races last spring and wasnt too far off them.

Chameleon from Magic Model

Race 7: Stratofortress will go very close here and at his best I think he just wins, I dont like how he ran last start even without the distance issues, will be stunned if he does not run a place though. Stratofortress and Will to Win should lead here and will put on a semi decent speed, Mossurmi should sit just off them and be within striking distance coming over the rise.

Mossurmi from Will to Win and Stratofortress

Race 8: Offhanded from Madibagold

Randwick Best Bets Sparkled | Chameleon

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Flemington Races

Race 2: Captain Coltish
Race 3: Apprehend from Macedonian
Race 4: Sadalbari
Race 5: Eraset from Encosta Belief
Race 6: Burdekin Blues leads easilly here and Starspangledbanner will sit 1-2 lengths away and have to cart up the field, I think Starspangledbanner is easilly the best horse in this race but this is not his grand final and believe he is too short.

Shellscrape to win from Sister Madly and Duporth

Race 7: Salinas from Orbiting Belle
Race 8: Portland Paige from Golden Honey

Best in Melbourne
Sadalbari | Shellscrape | Salinas

[Nick the Greek]

Managed to scavenge a total of $42.15 from accredited sources ( the last telstra box was hard to break into )
Lets see if any of this dog meat gets up .

randwick

r3 5-sparkled
r5 4-comepsa
r7 3-stratofortress
r8 5-the embassy /8-elmsford

flemington

r2 3 -stillme
r3 4 -olympic win
r4 4 -itstheone
r5 7 -rebel truce
r6 11 -headway
r7 1 - umatain
r8 10- starmon

might post other metro races up but for now just stick with syd & mlb .



fyi - odds mean nothing , ratings mean nothing ,deep racing analysis means nothing .
good luck

[Choppa]

I have just the one each-way tip in the Lightning: Race 6 No 8 Wanted.

[Laires]

fyi - odds mean nothing , ratings mean nothing ,deep racing analysis means nothing .
good luck

Thats why 95% punters lose on a yearly basis.

[lucai]

laires you got quite unlucky today.. thats why its gambling

[Laires]

Yeah I did Lucai, its no different to Poker really, its a game of variance!!

[lucai]

O well. when you win like 2/20 just re-cash and call it variance ay.
tonight ive got some money on the man city portsmouth game over 4.5 goals paying $6. im expecting man city to win like 4-1 or 4-2.

[thamask]

I have just the one each-way tip in the Lightning: Race 6 No 8 Wanted.

Very close choppa. i was on it and the winner.

Liares your had the form right in sydney.

[Choppa]

Very close choppa. i was on it and the winner.

Liares your had the form right in sydney.

Nicconi was the only other horse I would have backed - had I been smart - which clearly I am not - a boxed exacta or quinella would have been the go (I think the exacta paid $45). More pissed that my EPL multi went the fail route thanks to West Ham at what was big odds, and even more pissed that I can't win a flip in a live tournament to save myself!

Variance....

[thamask]

Nicconi was the only other horse I would have backed - had I been smart - which clearly I am not - a boxed exacta or quinella would have been the go (I think the exacta paid $45). More pissed that my EPL multi went the fail route thanks to West Ham at what was big odds, and even more pissed that I can't win a flip in a live tournament to save myself!

Variance....

Im really spewing i didn't have any part of the quin or exact as well,...At $45 a big chance missed....