Asian Cup 2011 Gamboool

[Choppa]

The Asian Cup started this morning, hosts Qatar going down 2-0 to Uzbekistan. Predictably, I'm going to get my gambling hat on for this.

Here's the tournament win market from Sportingbet:
Japan $4.50
Australia, South Korea $5.50
Saudi Arabia $8.50
Uzbekistan $10.00
Iran $11.00
Kuwait $17.00
China, North Korea, Qatar, Iraq $21.00
UAE, Bahrain $26.00
Syria $51.00
Jordan $67.00
India $151.00

Matches coming up:

Tonight:
Kuwait vs China: Kuwait $2.75, China $2.55, Draw $3.10

Sunday Night:
Japan vs Jordan: Japan $1.29, Jordan $10.00, Draw $4.85
Saudi Arabia vs Syria: Saudis $1.67, Syria $5.00, Draw $3.50

Monday Night:
India vs Australia: India $26.00, Australia $1.07, Draw $9.00
South Korea vs Bahrain: S.Korea $1.67, Bahrain $5.00 Draw $3.50

Group Win Betting:
Group A: currently suspended
Group B: Japan $1.80, Saudi Arabia $2.25, Syria $13.00, Jordan $15.00
Group C: South Korea $1.95, Australia $2.00, Bahrain $10.00, India $41.00
Group D: Iran $1.90, Iraq $4.25, North Korea $4.25, UAE $7.00
I sense some value in Group D makrets if you look past Iran, in an open group. Suggest taking Australia in overseas markets where you should get better value.

I'll have more on teams and predictions as we go.

[Choppa]

Kuwait v China gets underway shortly, think the Kuwaiti's are value at the $2.75 mark in what is not far from home turf - you can probably get even better elsewhere.

[Choppa]

wp Kuwaiti dumbarse

[Duff85]

I opened the tourney by losing money on Qatar against Uzbekistan, Choppa got done with Kuwait against China... Pattern emerging here.

Let's play that Arab dollar again. :-)

Jordan+1.75 (half stake +1.5, +2) tonight against Japan (1.87 on Youwager)

[Choppa]

Unfortunately I failed to legislate for a Kuwaiti banana thinking it was a good idea to jam their boot right into the balls of an opponent....

Australia opens its campaign tonight against India. Victory is being declared a forgone conclusion, but....

Australia $1.07, India $26.00 Draw $9.00, my suggestion is to take Australia to be in front at half time @ $1.38; or there to be 4 goals or more in the match @ $1.87.

South Korea vs Bahrain is the late match.

[Duff85]

Kuwait were poor in their first match, Uzbekistan were good. A flood of money coming for Uzbekistan, probably going to regret this one but I picked up Kuwait late after they drifted out to $3.84.

[Choppa]

I wasn't impressed overly by China's performance against Kuwait, thought they made hard work of it. I'm taking Qatar to win at around the $2.60 mark. Good thing both suggestions for the Australian match came off, there's a little money in the bag to use.

And what's with all the deflected goals in this tournament?

[Duff85]

Poor quality games is my guess.

BOL on the Qatar pick - $2.60 is a good price there. I got the other side China at $3.02. Probably going to close at a better price, but I want to go to bed.

[Choppa]

Kuwait does the biz, Jordan vs Saudi Arabia underway, not interested.
Syria vs Japan coming up a bit later. Japan were very disappointing against Jordan, whilst Syria beat the Saudis.

I'm looking at the HT/FT double of draw/Japan at $3.80 tonight, but given results the other day, Syria is definitely good value at the $8 mark.

[Duff85]

Iraq-0.25 (2.01) against UAE will be my play tonight.