Random WSoP prop bets

[SwoopAE]

Sif mess with our action at 3-1

(fwiw 3-1 is a ridiculous price)

Out of curiosity do I count as Australian as a dual citizen who lives in Australia but will likely be playing on American passport for tax reasons? Because I kinda plan to win the WSOP ME this year.

[steve_farha]

You have a better chance of being liked on this forum, than winning the WSOP

[TurnRiva]

Originally Posted by SwoopAE

Out of curiosity do I count as Australian as a dual citizen who lives in Australia but will likely be playing on American passport for tax reasons? Because I kinda plan to win the WSOP ME this year.

You live in Australia and have citizenship. So you'd count. If you lived in the US the majority of the time, I assume it wouldnt count.

Things we need to iron out so no one gets angled.

[Stick]

Originally Posted by SwoopAE

Sif mess with our action at 3-1

(fwiw 3-1 is a ridiculous price)

Out of curiosity do I count as Australian as a dual citizen who lives in Australia but will likely be playing on American passport for tax reasons? Because I kinda plan to win the WSOP ME this year.

Yes, it most definitely should count.

But more importantly, DIE YANKEE SCUM!!!

[TurnRiva]

Originally Posted by luckyshades

Since the bet has already been accepted I'm wondering TR, you would have also jumped to accept this bet at what 6-1 ? 8-1 ? More ??

I seem to recall last year that bookmakers were offering greater than 2-1 on just a non North American winning it all.

Not sure, but I dont see anyone else snapping up 7:1

[SwoopAE]

7-1 is probably +EV due to less than 1/7th of ME entrants being aussie, but it's a small upside and big downside if you're the one laying 7-1

I'd take the bet at 3-1 and probably at 4-1; but at 5-1+ risking 10k to win 2k, while +EV, just doesnt seem worth it variance wise

[klunar]

.

[klunar]

if you are serious starcitybust and prepared to escrow PM me

[Starcitybust]

Originally Posted by klunar

if you are serious starcitybust and prepared to escrow PM me

Lmao!! I see no reason what so ever to escrow $2000. It just adds a whole nother risk to the cash.
Maybe if we were talking $10,000 each then we would use an escrow but seeing we are both in Australia, and the money is so small, I wouldnt use an escrow with my business for this type of cash, I'm not going to use one now.

If dude welches on his bet, or I do on mine, then it's going to add a serious uncomfortable factor to sitting down at any future tournaments. Thanks but no thanks.
however, if you would like to borrow $2000, I can loan it to you with an interest of 10% a day

I'm liking the odds of 4:1, I'm defo up to lay down another $3000 if I can get 7:1, but that means all my prop betting and all my chip me up cash-flow is spent.
My gut tells me a Aussie will win it this year, it just feels right..... Poker has taken a huge dive in the live game in Australia, it needs a pick me up, there are some ayers running very well at the moment and some on a huge mission, and I just feel things will fall into place.
If I can turn $5000 into $22,000 while watching an Aussie win 10million dollars, then that's going to be a fun day

[TurnRiva]

Is there many people on PNW that know you IRL?